My 2024 Election Prediction

If Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania, North Carolina, or Georgia, she’s the next President of the United States

Brian Tubbs
2 min readOct 9, 2024

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Image of the Author’s Prediction — from 270toWin.com

Who will win in November?

Will Donald Trump be reelected to a second non-consecutive term or will American voters make Kamala Harris the first woman and first Asian American President?

You can go on 270toWin.com and see some of the latest polls and create your own electoral map based on your own predictions. That’s what I did.

I’ve followed politics since my teen years. (That was a long time ago). Based on my observations and my look at the poll numbers, I put the above map together.

In my judgment, this election comes down to Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. If Kamala Harris wins any of those states, she wins the election.

Is it possible Donald Trump might take a state I put in Harris’s column? Yes. Anything can happen between now and Election Day, and I suspect Michigan and Wisconsin may be the most vulnerable to Trump.

But I believe Harris will hold onto those states.

I think Harris carries all the states shown in blue on the map above, and I think she will grab at least one of the toss-up states.

Again, there is still plenty of time between now and Election Day. In American politics, anything can happen. But, at this point (as of October 8, 2024), this is Kamala Harris’s race to lose.

What do you think? What’s your prediction?

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Brian Tubbs
Brian Tubbs

Written by Brian Tubbs

Crafting Stories, Encouraging People

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